Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.239878 1.522430 1.889654 2.418553 3.191709 4.337759 6.296041
2025-04-27 0.903909 1.222638 1.706513 2.558140 4.194767 7.754473 18.984663
2025-05-04 0.710656 1.016579 1.526837 2.553346 4.983227 12.545528 68.929649
2025-05-11 0.581404 0.861214 1.356973 2.449841 5.478659 18.549945 436.056411
2025-05-18 0.510402 0.780731 1.287736 2.511544 6.536172 33.409473 NaN
2025-05-25 0.463832 0.730581 1.258105 2.649789 8.154864 77.033875 NaN
2025-06-01 0.417688 0.671129 1.191066 2.653705 9.349559 179.970541 NaN
2025-06-08 0.373894 0.608358 1.100770 2.545779 9.878121 398.337881 NaN
2025-06-15 0.350995 0.582433 1.086871 2.672977 12.324926 10430.798361 NaN
2025-06-22 0.325865 0.548020 1.044792 2.685639 14.189584 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.300410 0.509510 0.984797 2.605983 15.151685 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.279822 0.478690 0.938339 2.559544 16.546670 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.272098 0.474661 0.961186 2.818975 24.175064 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.260962 0.461818 0.958263 2.974283 32.966515 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.246278 0.439327 0.924215 2.964499 38.828943 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.230124 0.411896 0.871584 2.835590 40.105761 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.220714 0.398890 0.858436 2.911775 52.663927 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.214158 0.391720 0.861130 3.083424 81.084735 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.204689 0.376753 0.837574 3.088295 102.912294 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.193430 0.356603 0.795081 2.954167 105.246327 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.188420 0.350927 0.797022 3.112302 182.259613 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.181330 0.339589 0.779098 3.128085 257.736117 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.172987 0.324571 0.747209 3.028917 284.760543 NaN NaN